Emas Bersiap Catat Kenaikan Mingguan Terbesar Sejak Januari

PT. Equityworld Futures - Emas naik dalam transaksi berombak Jumat, menembus level tertingginya dalam enam pekan terakhir dan berada di jalur menuju kenaikan mingguan terbesar sejak pertengahan Januari lalu karena buruknya data ekonomi dari China yang telah mengguncang pasar keuangan, mendorong dolar AS luas lebih rendah.
Saham dunia anjlok menuju kinerja mingguan terburuk mereka tahun ini, sementara indeks dolar mencapai level terendahnya dalam dua bulan terakhir pasca data pabrik China menambah keraguan bahwa Federal Reserve AS akan menaikkan suku bunga pada bulan depan.
Data China cukup menakutkan investor yang sudah khawatir tentang lambatnya pertumbuhan global, mengirim investor bergegas beralih ke obligasi dan emas, sementara logam mulia yang memiliki permasalahan industri, seiring perak dan paladium, turun pasca mencatat dua hari kenaikan.
Emas rebound pekan ini dari level 5 ½ tahun terendahnya pada Juli lalu, didorong rilis risalah dari pertemuan kebijakan terakhir The Fed, yang menipiskan harapan kenaikan segera suku bunga AS.
Spot emas mencapai level tertingginya di level $1,168.40 per ons dan naik sebesar 0,5 persen pada level $1,158.31 pukul 2:39 EDT (1839 GMT), naik sebesar 4 persen pada pekan ini. Emas berjangka AS untuk pengiriman Desember ditutup naik 0,6 persen pada level $1,159.60.
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Emas Capai Level Tertinggi dalam Lebih dari Enam Minggu Terkait Fed

PT. Equityworld Futures - Emas menguat untuk hari kelima ke level tertinggi dalam lebih dari enam minggu seiring tanda-tanda kemungkinan Federal Reserve menunda kenaikan suku bunga karena  masih rendahnya inflasi dan menyebarnya selloff di pasar negara berkembang.
Emas untuk pengiriman segera naik sebanyak 1,4 persen ke level $ 1,168.39 per ounce, level tertinggi sejak 7 Juli, sebelum diperdagangkan pada level $ 1,158.75 di pukul 02:57 siang waktu Singapura, menurut harga publik Bloomberg. Logam ini telah melonjak 3,9 persen minggu ini dan bersiap untuk meraih keuntungan terbesar sejak Januari.
Pejabat Fed menunjukkan kekhawatiran atas rendahnya inflasi, menurut laporan dari pertemuan bulan lalu, menandakan kenaikan tingkat suku bunga mungkin akan dilakukan pada bulan Desember bukan bulan depan. Keputusan China untuk mendevaluasi mata uangnya di tengah pertumbuhan yang lambat dan prospek suku bunga AS yang lebih tinggi telah mendorong penjualan di pasar negara berkembang dan komoditas. Indeks manufaktur China jatuh ke posisi terendah dalam enam tahun pada hari Jumat.
Emas masih 2,2 persen lebih rendah tahun ini. Harga turun ke level $ 1,077.40 pada bulan Juli, tingkat yang merupakan level terendah dalam lebih dari lima tahun.(sdm)
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Emas Berjangka Hapus Gain di Tengah Penurunan Komoditi

PT. Equityworld Futures - Emas jatuh di New York, memangkas keuntungan dua hari, akibat penurunan dalam komoditas yang mengurangi permintaan untuk lindung nilai terhadap inflasi.
Indeks Komoditi Bloomberg dari 24 bahan baku turun sebanyak 1,2%. Bullion abjlok setelah naik 3,6%  dalam minggu ini sampai dengan Kamis kemarin. Logam tersebut telah meningkat setelah pelemahan dalam ekuitas memicu pembelian haven. Pada hari Jumat, beberapa pedagang menggunakan keuntungan emas untuk menutupi kerugian di pasar lain, menurut Phil Streible, ahli strategi pasar senior dari RJO Futures.
Emas berjangka untuk pengiriman Desember turun 0,2% ke level $ 1,151.20 per ons pada pukul 10:30 pagi di Comex New York. Harga emas pada bulan Juli mencapai level terendah dalam lima tahun di $ 1,073.70.(frk)
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Chinese Stocks Sink as Currency to Economy Concern Spur Outflows

PT. Equityworld Futures - Chinese stocks slumped, with a gauge of shares in Hong Kong falling to an eight-month low, as foreigners pulled funds amid concern about the weaker outlook for the yuan and economic growth.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped 0.9 percent to 10,962.24 at the close. Net outflows from Chinese and Hong Kong equities reached $531 million in the week to Aug. 12, the ninth week of sales out of the past 10, China International Capital Corp. said. Ping An Insurance (Group) Co. led losses by insurers as the government seeks to contain the fallout from blasts in Tianjin port. Airlines jumped in mainland trading, spurring a late-day rebound for the Shanghai Composite Index, which added 0.7 percent.
The yuan sank the most in 21 years last week after the government allowed markets greater sway in setting the currency’s level. China’s industrial production, investment and retail data all trailed analysts’ estimates, according to data released this month. The securities regulator signaled on Friday China Securities Finance Corp. will reduce the scale of its intervention in the stock market. The fund has become one of the most influential investors since a $4 trillion rout.
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Saham AS Tertekan Terkait Data Manufaktur Seiring Penurunan Saham Energi

PT. Equityworld Futures - Saham AS jatuh, pasca indeks Standard & Poor 500 menguat pekan lalu, seiring kinerja sektor manufaktur di New York merosot pada bulan Agustus dan melemahnya saham energi.
Indeks S&P 500 turun sebesar 0,5 persen ke level 2,081.49 pukul 09:32 pagi di New York.
Indeks S&P 500 menguat 0,7 persen pekan lalu, indeks acuan menghapus gain untuk tahun terkait devaluasi mata uang China sebelum melakukan perputaran intraday terbesar dalam tiga tahun terakhir. Indeks S&P 500 telah ditransaksikan di kisaran perdagangan ketat dalam sembilan dekade terakhir.
Sektor manufaktur di wilayah New York merosot pada laju tercepat sejak merosot ke dalam resesi terakhir, menurut laporan dari Federal Reserve Bank of New York hari ini.
Indeks Empire State cabang bank sentral anjlok menjadi minus 14,9 pada bulan Agustus, level terendah sejak April 2009, dari 3,9 bulan sebelumnya. Pembacaan kurang dari nol sinyal ekonomi akan mengalami kontraksi.
Investor mengamati laporan ekonomi untuk mengukur kesehatan perekonomian. Federal Reserve akan merilis risalah dari pertemuan bulan Juli pada 19 Agustus mendatang, ekspektasi pasar kenaikan suku bunga pada bulan September naik dari seminggu sebelumnya menjadi sekitar 50-50. (izr)
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Japan Stocks Rise, Following U.S. Equities Higher After GDP Data

PT. Equityworld Futures - Japanese stocks rose, following a gain in U.S. equities, as a report showed Japan’s economy contracted last quarter by less than economists forecast.
Shionogi & Co. gained 2.9 percent after Mizuho Financial Group Inc. raised its share-price target on the drugmaker. Digital Garage Inc. jumped 3 percent after the web service provider’s operating profit beat analyst estimates. Sompo Japan Nipponkoa Holdings Inc. added 2.4 percent after a report the insurer will raise premiums for the first time in eight years. Oil explorer Inpex Corp. slid 0.7 percent following a decline in crude prices.
The Topix index added 0.4 percent to 1,670.73 at the trading break in Tokyo, with all but seven of it 33 industry groups rising. Volume was 33 percent below the 30-day intraday average. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average gained 0.4 percent to 20,590.26.
A government report Monday showed Japan’s economy shrank an annualized 1.6 percent in the three months through June, snapping two quarters of expansion. Analysts forecast a 1.8 percent contraction after the economy grew a revised 4.5 percent in the first quarter.
The contraction came as consumers and businesses cut spending, putting pressure on the prime minister to return his focus to Abenomics. Since coming to power in December 2012, Shinzo Abe has delivered unprecedented monetary easing and fiscal stimulus that helped push the Topix stock index to an eight-year high this month, but failed to translate into a broader economic recovery.
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Gold Reclaims $1,100 as it Logs 3 Session Winning Streak

PT. Equityworld Futures - Gold futures finished higher Monday, breaking above $1,100 an ounce Monday, as comments from Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer suggested the U.S. central bank may not hike interest rates in September as the market has assumed.
Gold traders have been anticipating an interest-rate hike for to Bloomberg TV Monday morning delivered a shot in the arm to gold and other precious metals, including silver. Gold, which offers investors no interest payments, could lose some of its appeal to higher-yielding assets.
For December delivery, gold futures picked up $10, or 0.9%, to settle at $1,104.10 an ounce, coming off its highs of $1,108.50 of the session but still solidly higher.
In other metals, October platinum climbed $27.60, or 2.9%, to wrap up the session at $989.80 an ounce, while September palladium tacked on $9.30, or 1.6%, to end at $606.20 an ounce.
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Bursa Asia Melemah Terhadap Data China dan Spekulasi Suku Bunga AS

PT. Equityworld Futures - Bursa saham Asia jatuh setelah China melaporkan penurunan yang lebih besar dari perkiraan ekspor dan harga produsen serta data pekerjaan AS meningkatkan ekspektasi pedagang untuk kenaikan suku bunga Federal Reserve di bulan depan.
Indeks MSCI Asia Pacific turun 0,1% ke level 140,89 pada pukul 09:01 pagi di Tokyo. Indeks tersebut telah merosot dalam tiga minggu terakhir di tengah upaya pemerintah China untuk membendung penurunan pasar ekuitas dan karena investor menganalisis data ekonomi AS sebagai petunjuk terkait waktu kenaikan suku bunga AS untuk pertama kali sejak tahun 2006. Pedagang di suku bunga berjangka  yang memprediksi probabilitas dari kenaikan di bulan depan sebesar 54%.
Indeks Topix Jepang turun 0,4%. Indeks Kospi Korea Selatan turun 0,1%. Indeks S&P/ASX 200 Australia naik 0,1% dan Indeks NZX 50 Selandia Baru sedikit berubah. Pasar saham di Singapura ditutup untuk liburan.
Data pada hari Jumat menunjukkan pengusaha AS menambahkan 215.000 pekerjaan pada bulan Juli sementara tingkat pengangguran bertahan di level terendah tujuh tahun sebesar 5,3%. Gain dalam gaji mengikuti kenaikan 231.000 pada bulan Juni yang lebih besar dari perkiraan sebelumnya. Sementara laporan tersebut juga menunjukkan kenaikan dalam jam kerja, penghasilan rata-rata per jam naik kurang dari perkiraan sebesar 2,1% dari tahun sebelumnya.
Pengiriman dari China pada Juli menyusut 8,3%, lebih dari lima kali penurunan yang diproyeksikan oleh analis, memicu kekhawatiran atas ekonomi terbesar di Asia, yang diperkirakan tumbuh pada kecepatan paling lambat dalam tahun ini sejak tahun 1990. Harga produsen mencatatkan penurunan tajam sejak 2009, menurut data pada hari Minggu.
Kontrak pada indeks Hang Seng dan Indeks Hong Kong Hang Seng China Enterprises turun setidaknya 0,5% pada Jumat lalu. Berjangka di Indeks FTSE China A50 kehilangan 0,2%, sedangkan pada Indeks Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 menambahkan 2,6% di sebagian besar perdagangan terakhir.(frk)
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Gold Holds Near One-Week High as U.S. Rate Rise Seen Priced In

PT. Equityworld Futures - Gold held near a one-week high on speculation that investors have factored in a U.S. interest-rate increase, which may happen as early as next month.
Bullion for immediate delivery added 0.1 percent to $1,095.40 an ounce by 10:35 a.m. in London, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. It reached $1,099.63 on Friday, the highest since July 31. Futures for December delivery were little changed at $1,094.50 on the Comex.
The metal declined Friday as U.S. equities and a gauge of the dollar’s strength fell. U.S. employers added 215,000 jobs in July, while payroll gains in the previous two months were revised up, the Labor Department report showed. The Federal Reserve has keep rates near zero since 2008 to bolster economic growth.
Holdings in gold-backed exchange-traded products fell for the 16th time in 17 days, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Assets declined 2 metric tons to 1,511.8 tons as of Friday.
Silver for immediate delivery gained 0.7 percent to $14.9322 an ounce in London. Platinum rose 0.7 percent to $969.92 an ounce while palladium added 0.5 percent to $603.90 an ounce.
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India 'Reclaims' No.1 Gold Demand from China

PT. Equityworld Futures - GOLD demand in India beat China as the world's No.1 for the first time since 2013 in the second quarter of this year, according to the latest data.
Global consultancy Thomson Reuters GFMS says "seasonal strength" between April and June saw India "reclaim the top spot in regard to total gold consumption."
Across the first 6 months of the year, however, China came just ahead according to GFMS's new Gold Survey 2015 Q2 Update & Outlook.
India was "easily the biggest consumer of all gold products in the second quarter," the report says, despite seeing no sizeable change in either jewelry or gold investment demand from a year earlier. China's household demand fell 24% in contrast, with the drop split across jewelry and investment.
Even in India, however, "ample supplies" dented prices in the retail market says consultancy Metals Focus, thanks to a surge in H1 gold bullion imports.
Indeed, "since mid-May the local price switched to a consistent discount to London" “ center of the world's wholesale market, and the global price benchmark “ widening by late-June to $10 per ounce, "a level not seen in a couple of years," says Metals Focus in its latest Indian Focus Monthly.
Looking ahead to the last 6 months of 2015, second-half gold jewelry demand in 2014 was 20% greater than demand between January and June, according to GFMS's data. But while this year's monsoon rains have now improved “ allaying fears of a "second consecutive drought year" according to the Indian Express, and boosting jewelers expectations for H2 sales “ the crucial Hindu calendar will bring 40% fewer auspicious days for marriage ceremonies, denting a key source of demand for gifts.
That is "a positive sign for retailers," the Economic Times quotes Ashok Minawala, former chairman of the All India Gems & Jewellery Trade Federation. Because "it is a tradition in the farming community to buy gold once they sell crop," he explains, some "60-70% of India's gold demand comes from the rural market."
However, "the number of auspicious days for wedding is less this year," the same paper last month quoted Ketan Shroff of the India Bullion & Jewellers Association. "[That] will definitely dent the demand of gold jewelry during the second half of this year."
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U.S. Index Futures Little Changed Before Kellogg, Disney Results

PT. Equityworld Futures - U.S. stock-index futures were little changed, following a two-day drop for equities, as investors awaited earnings from companies including Kellogg Co., Walt Disney Co. and Aetna Inc.
S&P’s 500 E-mini contracts expiring in September added less than 0.1 percent to 2,091.75 at 9:40 a.m. in London. U.S. stocks declined yesterday, with commodity producers sinking and Apple Inc. entering a correction. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 2 points to 17,513 today.
The S&P 500 rose 2 percent in July, the best monthly gain since February, as earnings from Amazon.com Inc. and Google Inc. countered declines by energy and mining stocks.
Some 31 S&P 500-listed companies are scheduled to release financial results today. Almost three-quarters of S&P 500 members have reported earnings this season, with 74 percent beating profit estimates and about half of them exceeding sales projections.
Investors will also watch data today on American factories at 10 a.m. New York time. Economists project orders increased by 1.8 percent in June, rebounding from two months of declines. Reports on employment and the services industries are also due later this week.
A U.S.-listed exchange-traded fund tracking Greek equities slipped 0.8 percent. The Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF dropped 2.7 percent yesterday as financial markets there reopened after a five-week suspension.
American depositary receipts of National Bank of Greece SA slumped 11 percent in early New York trading.
Avis Budget Group Inc. fell 3 percent in late trading after trimming the top end of its profit forecast.
Alcoa Inc. rose 1.5 percent after shares of the aluminum producer closed near their lowest price since 2013.
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Gold Fall as Goldman Sachs Says Prices May Drop Below $1,000

PT. Equityworld Futures - Gold fell, trading near a five-year low, as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said rising U.S. interest rates may lead to deeper losses.
A government report Monday showed American households kept spending in June, capping a stronger quarter for the biggest part of the economy, as incomes rose. The Federal Reserve signaled last week that it will probably raise rates this year as the labor market improves. Goldman in a report Monday reiterated that gold may fall below $1,000 an ounce, or more than 8 percent below Monday’s closing futures price.
Gold tumbled to a five-year low in July as Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the central bank is on track for raising rates for the first time since 2006, curbing the appeal of gold because it doesn’t pay interest like assets such as equities. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained in July by the most since March, reducing demand for bullion as an alternative asset. Money managers stayed net-short on bullion for a second week as of July 28, government data showed Friday.
Gold futures for December delivery declined 0.5 percent to settle at $1,089.40 an ounce at 1:44 p.m. on the Comex in New York, falling for a fourth day in five sessions. The metal fell to $1,073.70 on July 24, the lowest since February 2010.
Silver futures for September delivery dropped 1.6 percent to $14.515 an ounce on the Comex, the biggest loss since July 15.
Platinum futures for October delivery slid 1.8 percent to $967.10 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the largest drop since July 7. Palladium futures for September delivery declined 1.3 percent to $603.20 an ounce.
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ECB Approves Greek Proposals for Market Reopening, Official Says

PT. Equityworld Futures - The European Central Bank has given approval to Greece’s proposals for the reopening of the country’s financial markets, a spokeswoman for the Athens Stock Exchange said today in a telephone call.
The timing of the reopening will be decided by Greece’s finance ministry, in a decree that will also decide any trade restrictions and ground rules for trading, said the spokeswoman, who asked not to be named in line with policy.
Spokesmen for the Bank of Greece, the ECB and the Greek finance ministry weren’t immediately available for comment. Trading on the Athens Stock Exchange has been suspended since June 29, following the introduction of capital controls in Greece.
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HSBC lowers 2015, 2016 gold price forecasts

PT. Equityworld Futures - HSBC lowered its average gold price forecasts for 2015 and 2016 on Monday to reflect the dramatic recent fall of the yellow metal and said it could touch within striking distance of $1,000 per ounce before recovering.
The bank lowered its 2015 average gold price to $1,160 per ounce and $1,205 for 2016 from $1,234 and $1,275 per ounce earlier, respectively. However, it kept its long term price forecasts of $1,325 per ounce unchanged.
"In the short term we would not be surprise ..
surprised to see gold lower. However, we are expecting a bounce by year end to $1,205 per ounce and are then expecting the price to travel largely sideways next year hitting $1,255 per ounce by year-end," HSBC said in a note.
Gold lost ground on Monday, moving closer to last week's 5-1/2 year lows below $1,100 per ounce, with expectations for a near-term U.S. interest rate hike seen keeping momentum firmly with the bears.
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