PT. Equityworld Futures - Bursa saham Hong Kong
melemah pada hari Senin setelah survei resmi menunjukkan aktivitas
pabrik China menyusut lebih dari yang diharapkan pada bulan Januari dan
merupakan laju tercepat dalam hampir 3-1/2 Tahun terakhir.
Indeks
Hang Seng turun 0,5 persen ke 19,595.50 poin, sementara Indeks China
Enterprises Kehilangan 1,2 persen menjadi 8,144.85.(frk)
Sumber : www.ewfpro.com
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Selasa, 02 Februari 2016
Senin, 16 Februari 2015
Gold Futures Rise as U.S. Consumer Sentiment Ebbs; Silver Jumps
PT. Equityworld Futures - Gold futures rose for the second straight day as weaker U.S.
consumer confidence added to concerns that the economy is slowing,
boosting demand for the precious metal as a haven. Silver jumped the
most in four weeks.
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary sentiment index decreased to 93.6 from a final January reading of 98.1 that was the highest since the start of 2004, figures showed Friday. A report on Thursday revealed that sales at U.S. retailers fell more than forecast in January.
Gold dropped 29 percent in the previous two years, posting consecutive annual losses for the first time since 1998. Faster U.S. expansion prompted some investors to lose faith in the metal as a store of value amid speculation that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates. Prices rebounded 8 percent in January as slowing foreign economies cast doubt that American growth would remain resilient.
Gold futures for April delivery climbed 0.5 percent to settle at $1,227.10 an ounce at 1:38 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Yesterday, the price rose 0.1 percent.
This week, the price dropped 0.6 percent, the third straight decline.
Silver futures for March delivery jumped 3 percent to $17.294 an ounce, the biggest gain for a most-active contract since Jan. 16.
Sumber : ewfpro.com
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary sentiment index decreased to 93.6 from a final January reading of 98.1 that was the highest since the start of 2004, figures showed Friday. A report on Thursday revealed that sales at U.S. retailers fell more than forecast in January.
Gold dropped 29 percent in the previous two years, posting consecutive annual losses for the first time since 1998. Faster U.S. expansion prompted some investors to lose faith in the metal as a store of value amid speculation that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates. Prices rebounded 8 percent in January as slowing foreign economies cast doubt that American growth would remain resilient.
Gold futures for April delivery climbed 0.5 percent to settle at $1,227.10 an ounce at 1:38 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Yesterday, the price rose 0.1 percent.
This week, the price dropped 0.6 percent, the third straight decline.
Silver futures for March delivery jumped 3 percent to $17.294 an ounce, the biggest gain for a most-active contract since Jan. 16.
Sumber : ewfpro.com
Sabtu, 14 Februari 2015
Gold Demand Declines as China Loses Biggest-Buyer Spot to India
PT. Equityworld Futures - Gold
demand fell for a third year on a slump in purchases from China,
costing the country its place as the world™s biggest buyer.
Global
demand slid 4 percent to a five-year low of 3,923.7 metric tons in
2014, the World Gold Council said in a report Thursday. In China,
purchases of bars and coins for investment dropped by 50 percent and
jewelry buying retreated from a record, according to the London-based
group.
The strengthening dollar and prospects for higher U.S.
interest rates have curbed gold™s appeal as a protection of wealth,
leading to two years of falling prices. While the metal has rebounded
over the past three months, it™s still within 10 percent of a four-year
low.
Gold
rose 3.2 percent to $1,222.62 an ounce in London this year, India took
China™s spot as biggest buyer of the metal, reclaiming the position it last held in 2012, after jewelry demand jumped to the highest level since at least 1995.
Purchases
of necklaces, bracelets and earrings by Indian shoppers rose 8 percent
even amid import restrictions, while Chinese consumers bought 33 percent
less. Combined bar and coin investment was down 50 percent in both
countries.
sumber : ewfpro.com
Jumat, 05 Desember 2014
Gold Slides as European Central Bank Snubs Bullion Purchases
Gold futures dropped after the European Central Bank said it wouldn™t consider adding to bullion purchases.
The
ECB discussed buying all assets except the metal as it plans to
reassess stimulus next quarter, President Mario Draghi said today. The
comments come after Executive Board member Yves Mersch said last month
that the bank could Ĺ“theoretically buy bullion.
Gold
has rebounded 6.8 percent since touching a four-year low on Nov. 7 amid
speculation that lower prices would start to attract increased physical
purchases, including from central banks. Investor demand for precious
metals has waned amid a rally for equities and the dollar and as
inflation remained low.
Gold
futures for February delivery slipped 0.1 percent to settle at
$1,207.70 an ounce at 1:43 p.m. on the Comex in New York, dropping for
the second time in three days.
Source : Bloomberg
Gold Retreat as Dollar Holds Advance Before ECB Policy Meeting
Gold
retreated as the dollar traded near a five-year high before a European
Central Bank meeting today that may give indications on further
stimulus.
The
Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed before data due tomorrow
that™s forecast to show U.S. jobs growth and amid speculation ECB
policy makers will signal more stimulus. President Mario Draghi said
last month they are open to buying a wide variety of assets.
The
greenback has strengthened as the Federal Reserve considers raising
borrowing costs while other central banks take steps to spur growth. A
stronger dollar and higher U.S. interest rates reduce gold™s allure
because the metal generally offers investors returns only through price
gains.
Gold
for February delivery fell 0.5 percent to $1,202.20 an ounce by 7:18
a.m. on the Comex in New York. Bullion for immediate delivery declined
0.6 percent to $1,202.25 in London, according to Bloomberg generic
pricing.
Source : Bloomberg
Dollar Probes 120 Yen on U.S. Growth as Euro Traders Await ECB
The
dollar strengthened to within 0.1 percent of 120 yen, reaching the
highest level since July 2007, as analysts forecast that U.S. job growth
will accelerate, boosting the economy while Japan™s remains mired in
recession.
While
the U.S. currency is being buoyed by signs of strength in the American
economy, the yen and the euro are weakening as their central banks
expand stimulus measures to boost growth. Europe™s shared currency
touched a two-year low today as traders awaited a monetary-policy
decision from the European Central Bank. Australia™s dollar slid for a
sixth day after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecast it would decline to 79
U.S. cents.
The
dollar rose 0.1 percent to 119.93 yen at 12:10 p.m. London time, after
rising to 119.98, the strongest level since July 2007. The U.S. currency
was little changed at $1.2313 per euro after appreciating to $1.2296,
the strongest since August 2012. The yen traded at 147.66 per euro.
About
$3 billion in options contracts with strikes at 120 yen per dollar
expire today, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, potentially
limiting the decline of the Japanese currency. The greenback appreciated
14 percent against the yen this year as the Fed moved closer to raising
interest rates while the Bank of Japan increased the scale of its bond
purchases as recently as October.
Source : Bloomberg
Selasa, 02 Desember 2014
Gold Retreats From Five-Week High on Outlook for Stronger Dollar
Gold
retreated after the biggest one-day rally in more than a year as
investors weighed the outlook for a stronger dollar against a rebound in
oil prices. Silver, platinum and palladium dropped.
Bullion
for immediate delivery declined as much as 0.7 percent to $1,203.45 an
ounce, and traded at $1,205.47 at 8:55 a.m. in Singapore, according to
Bloomberg generic pricing. The metal rallied yesterday to $1,221.43, the
highest level since Oct. 30, after climbing from a three-week low of
$1,142.88 as some investors ended bets on lower prices.
Gold
advanced 3.8 percent yesterday, the most since Sept. 2013, as crude
recovered from a five-year low and the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell
from the highest since 2009. The gauge of the U.S. currency remains 8.3
percent higher this year amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will
start to raise interest rates next year, hurting gold™s allure. Assets
in the SPDR Gold Trust, the largest exchange-traded product backed by
the metal, shrank 10 percent in 2014 to a six-year low.
Gold
dropped for a third month in November as the Fed assessed the timing of
rate rises, while other central banks added to stimulus, strengthening
the dollar. Policy makers at the European Central Bank and Bank of
England meet Dec. 4.
Source: Bloomberg
Dollar Falls From 5-Year High on Speculation It Gained Too Fast
The
dollar declined from the highest level in more than five years amid
speculation the currency may have strengthened too much, too fast.
The greenback slipped
versus most of its 16 major peers after a gauge of the Bloomberg Dollar
Spot Index™s relative strength exceeded 70 on Nov. 28, a level some
traders consider a signal an asset may reverse course. Russia™s ruble
led a drop by some commodity-producing nations™ currencies as oil
reached a five-year low. The yen gained after weakening to a seven-year
low as Moody™s Investors Service cut Japan™s credit rating.
Bloomberg™s dollar
index, which tracks the greenback against the currencies of 10 trading
partners, sank 0.3 percent to 1,103.69 at 4:11 p.m. in New York. It
closed on Nov. 28 at 1,106.90, the highest level since March 2009, as it
gained for a sixth consecutive week.
The dollar fell 0.2
percent to 118.36 yen, after earlier touching 119.14 yen, the strongest
since August 2007. The U.S. currency depreciated 0.2 percent to $1.2473
per euro. The 18-nation currency was little changed at 147.64 yen.
Source : Bloomberg
Selasa, 25 November 2014
WTI Drops a Second Day as OPEC Considers Sparing Three From Cut
West Texas
Intermediate crude fell for a second day as OPEC considered sparing
three nations from potential output cuts when the group meets in Vienna
this week.
Futures slid as much as 0.4 percent in New York.
Iraq, Iran and Libya wouldn™t have to trim supplies should the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agree to a reduction,
according to two people with knowledge of the proposal. This is not the
first time the market is oversupplied, Saudi Arabia™s Oil Minister Ali
Al-Naimi said in the Austrian capital.
Oil has collapsed into a bear market as the U.S.
pumps crude at the fastest rate in more than three decades amid signs of
a supply glut. Some OPEC producers are resisting calls to reduce
production while Venezuela and Ecuador seek action to support prices
ahead of discussions on Nov. 27.
WTI for January delivery dropped as much as 31
cents to $75.47 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York
Mercantile Exchange and was at $75.68 at 10:06 a.m. Sydney time. The
contract lost 73 cents to $75.78 yesterday. The volume of all futures
traded was about 43 percent below the 100-day average. Prices have
decreased 23 percent this year.
Brent for January settlement dropped 68 cents, or
0.9 percent, to $79.68 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe
exchange yesterday. The European benchmark crude ended the session at a
premium of $3.90 to WTI.
Source: Bloomberg
Yen Approaches Seven-Year Low Before Kuroda Speaks Amid Stimulus
The
yen approached a seven-year low versus the dollar before Bank of Japan
Governor Haruhiko Kuroda speaks today, as policy diverges from the
Federal Reserve.
The
euro maintained gains from yesterday versus its major peers after
European Central Bank Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said
expanding bond purchases to government debt would face Ĺ“legal hurdles.
New Zealand™s dollar held its first decline in three days before a
quarterly Reserve Bank survey of inflation expectations. The BOJ today
releases minutes of its Oct. 31 meeting, when it surprised markets by
expanding stimulus two days after the Fed ended its bond-buying program.
The
yen slipped 0.1 percent to 118.43 per dollar at 8:47 a.m. in Tokyo from
yesterday, when it fell 0.4 percent. It reached 118.98 on Nov. 20, the
weakest since August 2007. The yen was little changed at 147.26 per
euro, after yesterday™s 0.8 percent slide. The euro traded at $1.2434
from $1.2442.
The
BOJ last month lifted the annual target for enlarging the monetary base
to 80 trillion yen ($675 billion), from 60 trillion yen to 70 trillion
yen. The policy board voted to retain the plan at the end of a two-day
meeting on Nov. 19. Kuroda is scheduled to speak at 10 a.m. in Nagoya
today.
The
Fed is moving to raise interest rates for the first time since 2006
after curtailing its quantitative-easing program. Futures traders
predict there™s a 50 percent chance rates will rise in September for the
first time since 2006.
The New Zealand dollar was little changed at 78.60 U.S. cents, after weakening 0.3 percent yesterday.
Source : Bloomberg
Jumat, 21 November 2014
WTI Crude Gains a Second Day as Investors Weigh OPEC Output Cut
West Texas Intermediate crude rose for a second day as investors
weighed the likelihood OPEC will cut production when it meets in Vienna
next week.
Futures advanced as much as 1.2 percent in New York. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may reduce its output target by no more than 500,000 barrels a day, Bank of America Corp. said in a note yesterday. Iran will protect its share of global sales and can double exports in two months if sanctions are removed, Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said, according to the ministry’s news website Shana.
Oil has collapsed into a bear market as the U.S. pumps at the fastest rate in more than three decades amid signs of weakening demand. Leading OPEC members are resisting calls to reduce supply while others including Venezuela seek action to support prices before a Nov. 27 meeting.
WTI for January delivery increased as much as 88 cents to $76.73 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $76.61 at 10:50 a.m. Sydney time. The December contract expired yesterday after rising $1 to $75.58. Front-month prices are up 1 percent this week, heading for the first weekly gain since September.
Brent for January settlement climbed $1.23, or 1.6 percent, to $79.33 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange yesterday. The European benchmark crude ended the session at a premium of $3.48 to WTI.
Source : Bloomberg
Futures advanced as much as 1.2 percent in New York. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may reduce its output target by no more than 500,000 barrels a day, Bank of America Corp. said in a note yesterday. Iran will protect its share of global sales and can double exports in two months if sanctions are removed, Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said, according to the ministry’s news website Shana.
Oil has collapsed into a bear market as the U.S. pumps at the fastest rate in more than three decades amid signs of weakening demand. Leading OPEC members are resisting calls to reduce supply while others including Venezuela seek action to support prices before a Nov. 27 meeting.
WTI for January delivery increased as much as 88 cents to $76.73 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $76.61 at 10:50 a.m. Sydney time. The December contract expired yesterday after rising $1 to $75.58. Front-month prices are up 1 percent this week, heading for the first weekly gain since September.
Brent for January settlement climbed $1.23, or 1.6 percent, to $79.33 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange yesterday. The European benchmark crude ended the session at a premium of $3.48 to WTI.
Source : Bloomberg
Natural Gas Rises to 5-Month High on Heating-Fuel Demand
Natural gas futures rose in New York to the highest price in almost five months as a blast of arctic air spurred heating-fuel demand.
Prices alternated between gains and losses before ending the session up 2.7 percent. The government’s Global Forecast System midday update showed that temperatures will be below normal in the eastern U.S. next week before moving closer to seasonal norms Nov. 30 through Dec. 4, according to Frontier Weather Inc. Gas demand this week jumped to an eight-month high as temperatures tumbled, according to LCI Energy Insight data.
“A very cold start to the winter has resurfaced repressed market memories of last winter, with fickle short-term weather forecasts supporting the ongoing tug-of-war in natural gas prices,” said Teri Viswanath, director of commodities strategy at BNP Paribas SA in New York. “While the midday model runs showed a slightly warmer version of the 11- to 15-day forecast period, there appears sufficient cold weather to entice buyers.”
Natural gas for December delivery rose 11.8 cents to settle at $4.489 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest close since June 25. Prices rose to $4.503 and dropped to $4.25 during the session. Volume for all futures traded was more than double the 100-day average at 3:48 p.m. Prices are up 22 percent from a year ago.
December $4.75 calls were the most active options in electronic trading, falling 0.6 cent to 2.3 cents on volume of 2,341 as of 3:48 p.m.
The weather model for the 11- to 15-day period “averages a couple degrees warmer than normal for just about everywhere east of the Rockies except for the Northeast, which averages nearer to normal,” said Jim Southard, meteorologist with Frontier in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
The expected temperature range in St. Louis on Dec. 2 is now 43 degrees Fahrenheit (6 Celsius) to 51, up from the previously forecast range of 34 to 41, he said.
The noon model showed no significant changes in the forecast for the next week, Southard said. A surge of polar air from Canada will push from the Great Plains to Florida Nov. 25 through Nov. 29, with the Midwest seeing the strongest intensity of the cold, according to MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland. About 49 percent of U.S. households use gas for heating.
Gas stockpiles fell 17 billion cubic feet in the week ended Nov. 14 to 3.594 trillion, topping the five-year average decline of 10 billion for the period, the U.S. Energy Information Administration report showed. Analyst estimates showed an expected drop of 11 billion, as did a survey of Bloomberg users.
A deficit to weekly five-year average inventory levels widened to 6.4 percent from 6.2 percent the previous week, expanding for the first time since March.
Supplies were 5.3 percent below year-earlier inventories, compared with 5.7 percent in last week’s report.
Spectra Corp.’s Algonquin gas pipeline in the Northeast curtailed 50 percent of secondary nominations on the system at the end of last week and that rose to about 80 percent as it got colder this week, said Valeria Annibali, energy industry analyst at FERC’s enforcement office. That signals less gas was available for power generators as more pipeline capacity was used to serve firm contract holders, such as distribution companies for households, she said.
Pipeline data this week also showed a notable shift in gas flows, with the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania and West Virginia meeting a bigger share of Northeast demand while Louisiana and Gulf flows stopped in the mid-Atlantic region, she said.
Gas demand jumped to 111.3 billion cubic feet on Nov. 18, the most for any day since Feb. 11, data show from LCI Energy in El Paso, Texas. Gas deliveries for the next day jumped to a seven-month high of $10.78 per million Btu on the day-ahead market on the Intercontinental Exchange. Algonquin prices today closed at $5.87.
“You expect prices like that in the depths of winter,” Ellsworth said.
Source : Bloomberg
Prices alternated between gains and losses before ending the session up 2.7 percent. The government’s Global Forecast System midday update showed that temperatures will be below normal in the eastern U.S. next week before moving closer to seasonal norms Nov. 30 through Dec. 4, according to Frontier Weather Inc. Gas demand this week jumped to an eight-month high as temperatures tumbled, according to LCI Energy Insight data.
“A very cold start to the winter has resurfaced repressed market memories of last winter, with fickle short-term weather forecasts supporting the ongoing tug-of-war in natural gas prices,” said Teri Viswanath, director of commodities strategy at BNP Paribas SA in New York. “While the midday model runs showed a slightly warmer version of the 11- to 15-day forecast period, there appears sufficient cold weather to entice buyers.”
Natural gas for December delivery rose 11.8 cents to settle at $4.489 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest close since June 25. Prices rose to $4.503 and dropped to $4.25 during the session. Volume for all futures traded was more than double the 100-day average at 3:48 p.m. Prices are up 22 percent from a year ago.
Price Retreat
Gas retreated during the session as futures faced resistance in the $4.50 range, said Ellen Stamm, global natural gas analyst at Schneider Electric in Louisville, Kentucky. It will take colder weather to break through that level, she said.December $4.75 calls were the most active options in electronic trading, falling 0.6 cent to 2.3 cents on volume of 2,341 as of 3:48 p.m.
The weather model for the 11- to 15-day period “averages a couple degrees warmer than normal for just about everywhere east of the Rockies except for the Northeast, which averages nearer to normal,” said Jim Southard, meteorologist with Frontier in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
The expected temperature range in St. Louis on Dec. 2 is now 43 degrees Fahrenheit (6 Celsius) to 51, up from the previously forecast range of 34 to 41, he said.
The noon model showed no significant changes in the forecast for the next week, Southard said. A surge of polar air from Canada will push from the Great Plains to Florida Nov. 25 through Nov. 29, with the Midwest seeing the strongest intensity of the cold, according to MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland. About 49 percent of U.S. households use gas for heating.
Inventory Report
“This is an earlier cold snap and when they have to eat into storage earlier than they expected, that can make the market a little bit nervous,” Chris Ellsworth, fuel branch chief with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s office of enforcement.Gas stockpiles fell 17 billion cubic feet in the week ended Nov. 14 to 3.594 trillion, topping the five-year average decline of 10 billion for the period, the U.S. Energy Information Administration report showed. Analyst estimates showed an expected drop of 11 billion, as did a survey of Bloomberg users.
A deficit to weekly five-year average inventory levels widened to 6.4 percent from 6.2 percent the previous week, expanding for the first time since March.
Supplies were 5.3 percent below year-earlier inventories, compared with 5.7 percent in last week’s report.
Bigger Decline
Early data indicates that the stockpile decline in next week’s report will jump to 150 billion cubic feet, given the blast of arctic air sweeping most of the lower 48 states, according to Viswanath and Stamm. The five-year average drop for the seven days ending Nov. 21 is 6 billion.Spectra Corp.’s Algonquin gas pipeline in the Northeast curtailed 50 percent of secondary nominations on the system at the end of last week and that rose to about 80 percent as it got colder this week, said Valeria Annibali, energy industry analyst at FERC’s enforcement office. That signals less gas was available for power generators as more pipeline capacity was used to serve firm contract holders, such as distribution companies for households, she said.
Pipeline data this week also showed a notable shift in gas flows, with the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania and West Virginia meeting a bigger share of Northeast demand while Louisiana and Gulf flows stopped in the mid-Atlantic region, she said.
Gas demand jumped to 111.3 billion cubic feet on Nov. 18, the most for any day since Feb. 11, data show from LCI Energy in El Paso, Texas. Gas deliveries for the next day jumped to a seven-month high of $10.78 per million Btu on the day-ahead market on the Intercontinental Exchange. Algonquin prices today closed at $5.87.
“You expect prices like that in the depths of winter,” Ellsworth said.
Source : Bloomberg
Kamis, 20 November 2014
Minyak WTI Melemah Setelah Persediaan Minyak Mentah AS Menguat
Minyak mentah West Texas Intermediate (WTI)
turun untuk hari keempat setelah persediaan minyak mentah AS naik, dan
investor mengkaji kemungkinan pemangkasan produksi minyak OPEC.
Minyak
berjangka melemah 0,4% di New York. Stok minyak mentah AS naik sebesar
2,6 juta barel pekan lalu menjadi 381.100.000, menurut laporan Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Organisasi Negara-negara Pengekspor Minyak (OPEC) harus memangkas
kelebihan pasokan dan mengurangi target produksi, Gubernur OPEC Libya
Samir Kamal mengatakan kemarin.
Minyak telah merosot ke bear market setelah
Amerika Serikat meningkatkan suku bunga tertinggi dalam lebih dari tiga
dekade di tengah tanda-tanda melemahnya permintaan. Memimpin anggota
OPEC menolak permintaan untuk mengurangi produksi karena produsen minyak
yang lebih kecil seperti Venezuela mencari tindakan untuk mendukung
harga sebelum pertemuan 27 November mendatang di Wina.
Minyak
mentah WTI untuk pengiriman Desember, yang berakhir hari ini,
kehilangan 33 sen menjadi $ 74,25 per barel di perdagangan elektronik New York Mercantile Exchange dan
berada di level $ 74,28 pada pukul 10:48 pagi waktu Sydney. Kontrak
bulan Januari yang lebih aktif turun 23 sen menjadi $ 74,27. Volume
semua berjangka yang diperdagangkan adalah sekitar 46% di bawah
rata-rata 100 hari. Harga WTI telah turun 25% dalam tahun ini.
Sementara minyak mentah Brent untuk pengiriman Januari turun 37 sen, atau 0,5%, ke $ 78,10 per barel di bursa ICE Futures Europe exchange kemarin. Minyak mentah patokan Eropa mengakhiri sesi di level $ 3,60 lebih besar dari WTI untuk bulan yang sama.
OPEC,
yang memasok sekitar 40% dari minyak dunia, memompa 30.970.000 barel
per hari pada bulan Oktober, melampaui target produksi kolektif dari 30
juta barel untuk bulan kelima berturut-turut, data yang dikumpulkan oleh
Bloomberg menunjukkan.(frk)
Sumber : Bloomberg
Gold Open Interest Rises to 22-Month High as Short Bets Climb
Holdings in gold contracts reached the highest in almost 22 months as investors added to bets that prices will drop. Futures fell.
The aggregate number of futures contracts yet to be closed, liquidated or delivered rose to 459,657 yesterday, the highest since Jan. 22, 2013. Money managers have boosted their short wagers to the highest in four weeks, while long holdings dropped to the lowest since January, government data show.
Investor appetite for bullion has ebbed as the dollar jumped to the highest since 2009 against a 10-currency basket and the Federal Reserve moved closer to its first U.S. interest-rate increase in eight years, cutting demand for the metal as an inflation hedge. Gold futures slumped to the lowest in four years this month, heading for a second straight annual loss.
Gold futures for December delivery lost 0.3 percent to settle at $1,193.90 an ounce today on the Comex in New York. The metal fell to $1,130.40 on Nov. 7, the lowest since April 2010.
Aggregate trading was more than double the 100-day average for this time, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Bullion has declined for two straight months, the longest slump this year, as U.S. equities surged to a record and inflation failed to accelerate. Fed officials said last month that lower energy costs may hold down consumer costs in the near term.
Source: Bloomberg
Selasa, 18 November 2014
Halliburton, Baker Hughes Consider Merger
Halliburton Co. (HAL) is in talks to buy Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI)
in a deal that would combine two of the largest and oldest names in the
energy business as plunging oil prices send the industry into a
downturn.
By eliminating a competitor, Halliburton, already the world’s second-biggest provider of oilfield services, would gain market clout that would help insulate it from a sustained market decline. A combination of Halliburton with No. 3 Baker Hughes would be a little more than half the size of larger rival Schlumberger Ltd. (SLB)
“The two gorillas in the room are getting together,” said Ed Hirs, who lectures on energy economics at the University of Houston. “Halliburton and Baker Hughes would have been competing more strenuously to maintain market share in the downturn, but this will make that easier.”
Baker Hughes rose 15 percent yesterday to $58.75 a share in New York, giving the company a market value of more than $25 billion. Halliburton rose 1.1 percent to $53.79, giving it a market value of about $46 billion.
The deal will probably be closely scrutinized by federal antitrust regulators, especially where the two companies’ businesses overlap most in North America.
With Baker Hughes, Halliburton fills a gap in its portfolio of oilfield services: technology to boost production in aging wells. Halliburton also gets Baker Hughes’ prized oil tools business.
In a statement yesterday, Baker Hughes said it is in “preliminary discussions” with Halliburton about a “potential business combination.” If negotiations are successful, a deal could be announced as soon as next week, said one person familiar with the matter, asking not to be identified discussing private information.
Halliburton doesn’t comment on market speculation, Emily Mir, a spokeswoman at Halliburton, said in an e-mail.
Halliburton initiated talks by contacting Baker Hughes several weeks ago, said one of the people with knowledge of the talks. Both companies are hired by oil and natural gas explorers to drill wells and provide services such as hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, which cracks rock to let petroleum flow more freely.
Halliburton may have to divest more than 20 percent of Baker Hughes to clear regulatory scrutiny, this person added.
Combined, the companies would dominate the $25 billion U.S. onshore fracking market with a 39 percent market share, more than double the size of its next competitor, Schlumberger, according to Spears & Associates.
It’s unlikely the deal could make it through the U.S. Department of Justice without “something having to be carved off,” said Edward Muztafago, an analyst for Societe Generale in New York.
Baker Hughes would be Halliburton’s largest acquisition, topping a 1998 purchase of Dresser Industries Inc. for about $8 billion, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Halliburton’s $14 billion in deals has lagged Schlumberger’s $27 billion in takeovers, the data show.
The takeover could be the largest of a U.S. oil services company, data compiled by Bloomberg show, and potentially the largest in the energy sector since Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) said in August it would acquire all of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP (KMP), Kinder Morgan Management LLC and El Paso Pipeline Partners LP in a series of transactions valued at about $44 billion.
Prices should bottom out next year and begin climbing again, Dave Lesar, chief executive officer at Halliburton, said Oct. 22 in an interview from his Houston headquarters.
Both companies have century-old pedigrees in the business. Baker Hughes has its roots in billionaire Howard Hughes Jr.’s empire, started by his father in 1909. Hughes Tool Co. merged with Baker International in 1987.
Halliburton was started in 1914 when Earl P. Halliburton borrowed a team of mules along with a wagon, a pump, and a cement-mixing box to start a business cementing oil wells.
Halliburton reported third-quarter earnings that climbed 70 percent from a year earlier, and is expected to boost earnings 30 percent this quarter. The company, which has doubled its quarterly dividend over the past two years, reported cash of $2 billion at the end of the third quarter.
Baker Hughes said earnings rose 10 percent in the third quarter.
Credit Suisse Group AG is advising Halliburton on the talks while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is advising Baker Hughes, one of the people said. Representatives for both banks declined to comment.
Sumber : Bloomberg
By eliminating a competitor, Halliburton, already the world’s second-biggest provider of oilfield services, would gain market clout that would help insulate it from a sustained market decline. A combination of Halliburton with No. 3 Baker Hughes would be a little more than half the size of larger rival Schlumberger Ltd. (SLB)
“The two gorillas in the room are getting together,” said Ed Hirs, who lectures on energy economics at the University of Houston. “Halliburton and Baker Hughes would have been competing more strenuously to maintain market share in the downturn, but this will make that easier.”
Baker Hughes rose 15 percent yesterday to $58.75 a share in New York, giving the company a market value of more than $25 billion. Halliburton rose 1.1 percent to $53.79, giving it a market value of about $46 billion.
The deal will probably be closely scrutinized by federal antitrust regulators, especially where the two companies’ businesses overlap most in North America.
With Baker Hughes, Halliburton fills a gap in its portfolio of oilfield services: technology to boost production in aging wells. Halliburton also gets Baker Hughes’ prized oil tools business.
‘Global Footprint’
“These oilfield services companies need to have a global footprint of a complete portfolio of products and services,” Richard Spears, vice president at Tulsa, Oklahoma-based industry consultant Spears & Associates said in a phone interview. “Schlumberger has it; a Halliburton-Baker Hughes combination would mimic the Schlumberger footprint.”In a statement yesterday, Baker Hughes said it is in “preliminary discussions” with Halliburton about a “potential business combination.” If negotiations are successful, a deal could be announced as soon as next week, said one person familiar with the matter, asking not to be identified discussing private information.
Halliburton doesn’t comment on market speculation, Emily Mir, a spokeswoman at Halliburton, said in an e-mail.
Halliburton initiated talks by contacting Baker Hughes several weeks ago, said one of the people with knowledge of the talks. Both companies are hired by oil and natural gas explorers to drill wells and provide services such as hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, which cracks rock to let petroleum flow more freely.
Anti-Trust Questions
Discussions of late have focused on potential anti-trust issues and Halliburton has explored options such as setting up a unit to hold assets it’s willing to divest, this person said. If the deal is completed, Halliburton and Baker Hughes will probably announce to regulators a willingness to sell assets to overcome anti-trust concerns, the person added.Halliburton may have to divest more than 20 percent of Baker Hughes to clear regulatory scrutiny, this person added.
Combined, the companies would dominate the $25 billion U.S. onshore fracking market with a 39 percent market share, more than double the size of its next competitor, Schlumberger, according to Spears & Associates.
Challenging Schlumberger
Schlumberger’s lead outside the U.S. and Canada would be considerably weakened by a Halliburton-Baker Hughes deal. Schlumberger’s international sales of $8.3 billion in the third quarter, more than double that of a stand-alone Halliburton, would outstrip a combined Halliburton-Baker Hughes by less than one third if a merger happened.It’s unlikely the deal could make it through the U.S. Department of Justice without “something having to be carved off,” said Edward Muztafago, an analyst for Societe Generale in New York.
Baker Hughes would be Halliburton’s largest acquisition, topping a 1998 purchase of Dresser Industries Inc. for about $8 billion, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Halliburton’s $14 billion in deals has lagged Schlumberger’s $27 billion in takeovers, the data show.
The takeover could be the largest of a U.S. oil services company, data compiled by Bloomberg show, and potentially the largest in the energy sector since Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) said in August it would acquire all of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP (KMP), Kinder Morgan Management LLC and El Paso Pipeline Partners LP in a series of transactions valued at about $44 billion.
Sinking Prices
Oil prices dropped to four-year lows yesterday as booming U.S. crude production combines with a shrinking forecast of demand growth. Lower prices could curtail drilling, meaning lower sales for Halliburton and its peers.Prices should bottom out next year and begin climbing again, Dave Lesar, chief executive officer at Halliburton, said Oct. 22 in an interview from his Houston headquarters.
Both companies have century-old pedigrees in the business. Baker Hughes has its roots in billionaire Howard Hughes Jr.’s empire, started by his father in 1909. Hughes Tool Co. merged with Baker International in 1987.
Halliburton was started in 1914 when Earl P. Halliburton borrowed a team of mules along with a wagon, a pump, and a cement-mixing box to start a business cementing oil wells.
Halliburton reported third-quarter earnings that climbed 70 percent from a year earlier, and is expected to boost earnings 30 percent this quarter. The company, which has doubled its quarterly dividend over the past two years, reported cash of $2 billion at the end of the third quarter.
Baker Hughes said earnings rose 10 percent in the third quarter.
Credit Suisse Group AG is advising Halliburton on the talks while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is advising Baker Hughes, one of the people said. Representatives for both banks declined to comment.
Sumber : Bloomberg
OPEC Diplomacy Picks Up With Iraq-to-Libya Chiefs
OPEC producers are stepping up their diplomatic visits before the
group’s meeting in two weeks, potentially seeking a consensus on how to
react to oil prices that have plunged to a four-year low.
Libyan Prime Minister Abdullah al-Thani flew to Riyadh yesterday just as Iraqi President Fouad Masoum left the kingdom after a two-day visit where he met with King Abdullah, the official Saudi Press Agency reported. Rafael Ramirez, Venezuela’s foreign minister and representative to OPEC, held talks in Algeria and Qatar. Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi toured Latin America.
“The Saudis will not walk the road alone, they want to see everyone share the burden with them,” Kuwait-based analyst Kamel al-Harami said by phone. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, is trying to build consensus among fellow members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries before they meet Nov. 27 in Vienna, he said.
West Texas Intermediate is poised for the longest run of weekly declines in almost three decades amid speculation that OPEC will refrain from cutting output to ease concern of a supply glut. WTI added 8 cents to $74.29 a barrel and Brent gained 0.4 percent to $78.20 at 11:01 a.m. in London.
Falling oil prices are straining state budgets among OPEC members, including Iraq’s government, which is leading a costly war against Islamist militants, and Libya that is struggling to keep crude output steady amid political divisions and violence.
Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro said he’d sent Ramirez to five countries, according to a televised address from Caracas.
“We are in a campaign to defend Venezuela, Venezuelan oil, international markets and the price of oil,” Maduro was cited as saying yesterday. “Oil sustains the development of our economic and social life.”
Ramirez met with Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika, with both nations reaffirming a joint position to defend prices, state-run news agency Algeria Press Service reported.
He also went to Qatar where he discussed crude prices and stability of oil markets with the Middle East country’s Prime Minister Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Al Thani and Energy Minister Mohammed Bin Saleh Al Sada yesterday in Doha, Venezuela’s foreign ministry said in a statement. He’s also is scheduled to travel to Iran and Russia, according to the ministry, while Maduro said the trip would include Mexico.
OPEC members Libya, Venezuela and Ecuador have called for action to prevent crude from falling further. Libya’s OPEC governor Samir Kamal said last month that the group must cut daily output by 500,000 barrels as the market is oversupplied by about 1 million barrels a day. This reflected his personal view, he said at the time.
“They can all come to Saudi Arabia and ask the Saudis to support oil prices, but that will not change anything,” al-Harami said. “At the next meeting, Al-Naimi will look for a cut by all the members and if he doesn’t get it, nothing will change.”
Sumber : Bloomberg
Libyan Prime Minister Abdullah al-Thani flew to Riyadh yesterday just as Iraqi President Fouad Masoum left the kingdom after a two-day visit where he met with King Abdullah, the official Saudi Press Agency reported. Rafael Ramirez, Venezuela’s foreign minister and representative to OPEC, held talks in Algeria and Qatar. Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi toured Latin America.
“The Saudis will not walk the road alone, they want to see everyone share the burden with them,” Kuwait-based analyst Kamel al-Harami said by phone. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, is trying to build consensus among fellow members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries before they meet Nov. 27 in Vienna, he said.
West Texas Intermediate is poised for the longest run of weekly declines in almost three decades amid speculation that OPEC will refrain from cutting output to ease concern of a supply glut. WTI added 8 cents to $74.29 a barrel and Brent gained 0.4 percent to $78.20 at 11:01 a.m. in London.
Falling oil prices are straining state budgets among OPEC members, including Iraq’s government, which is leading a costly war against Islamist militants, and Libya that is struggling to keep crude output steady amid political divisions and violence.
Iran’s Message
Iran’s Islamic Republic News Agency said Bijan Namdar Zanganeh, the nation’s oil minister, delivered a message to Kuwait on behalf of President Hassan Rouhani. Zanganeh briefed Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmad Al Sabah on developments in oil markets, the agency said. He also went to Qatar, IRNA reported.Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro said he’d sent Ramirez to five countries, according to a televised address from Caracas.
“We are in a campaign to defend Venezuela, Venezuelan oil, international markets and the price of oil,” Maduro was cited as saying yesterday. “Oil sustains the development of our economic and social life.”
Ramirez met with Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika, with both nations reaffirming a joint position to defend prices, state-run news agency Algeria Press Service reported.
He also went to Qatar where he discussed crude prices and stability of oil markets with the Middle East country’s Prime Minister Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Al Thani and Energy Minister Mohammed Bin Saleh Al Sada yesterday in Doha, Venezuela’s foreign ministry said in a statement. He’s also is scheduled to travel to Iran and Russia, according to the ministry, while Maduro said the trip would include Mexico.
All or Nothing
Saudi Arabia remains committed to seeking a stable oil prices and speculation of a battle between crude producers has no basis, Al-Naimi said Nov. 12 in Mexico after a visit to Venezuela.OPEC members Libya, Venezuela and Ecuador have called for action to prevent crude from falling further. Libya’s OPEC governor Samir Kamal said last month that the group must cut daily output by 500,000 barrels as the market is oversupplied by about 1 million barrels a day. This reflected his personal view, he said at the time.
“They can all come to Saudi Arabia and ask the Saudis to support oil prices, but that will not change anything,” al-Harami said. “At the next meeting, Al-Naimi will look for a cut by all the members and if he doesn’t get it, nothing will change.”
Sumber : Bloomberg
Senin, 17 November 2014
Gold Heads for Weekly Loss as SPDR Assets Extend Drop, Oil Slips
Gold headed for a weekly decline as
investors assessed the timing of higher U.S. borrowing costs
amid slumping energy prices, with assets in the SPDR Gold Trust
posting the longest period of decline since May 2013.
Bullion for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.4 percent to $1,157.94 an ounce, and traded at $1,160.41 at 8:48 a.m. in Singapore, down 1.5 percent this week, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. Holdings in the SPDR, the largest exchange-traded product backed by the metal, shrank to a six-year low of 720.62 metric tons yesterday, contracting for an eighth day.
Gold is heading for the first consecutive annual loss since 2000 as oil prices at a four-year low eroded demand for an inflation hedge, and the Federal Reserve moves closer to the first rate increase since 2006. Global demand slid 2.5 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier to the lowest level since 2009, the World Gold Council said yesterday. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index traded near a five-year high before a U.S. retail sales report today forecast to show a small increase.
“Unless some material change occurs in the U.S. economy, we believe a rate hike remains on the cards, keeping gold price weak,” Zhu Runyu, an analyst at CITIC Futures Co., a unit of China’s largest listed brokerage, said in an e-mail today.
New York Fed President William C. Dudley said raising interest rates too early poses a bigger risk to the economy than acting too late. Fed policy makers ended a bond-buying program last month as the jobless rate fell to a six-year low.
Gold for December delivery lost 0.2 percent to $1,159.70 an ounce on the Comex in New York, on course for a fourth week of losses. Most-active prices are 3.7 percent lower this year after losing 28 percent in 2013.
Silver for immediate delivery slid 0.6 percent to $15.5645 an ounce, heading for a fifth weekly drop, The metal retreated 20 percent this year and dropped to $15.0681 on Nov. 7, the lowest price since February 2010.
Spot platinum traded at $1,193.63 an ounce from $1,196.50 yesterday, set for a fifth week of declines. Palladium was little changed at $766.95 an ounce, poised for a second weekly decrease.
Bullion for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.4 percent to $1,157.94 an ounce, and traded at $1,160.41 at 8:48 a.m. in Singapore, down 1.5 percent this week, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. Holdings in the SPDR, the largest exchange-traded product backed by the metal, shrank to a six-year low of 720.62 metric tons yesterday, contracting for an eighth day.
Gold is heading for the first consecutive annual loss since 2000 as oil prices at a four-year low eroded demand for an inflation hedge, and the Federal Reserve moves closer to the first rate increase since 2006. Global demand slid 2.5 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier to the lowest level since 2009, the World Gold Council said yesterday. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index traded near a five-year high before a U.S. retail sales report today forecast to show a small increase.
“Unless some material change occurs in the U.S. economy, we believe a rate hike remains on the cards, keeping gold price weak,” Zhu Runyu, an analyst at CITIC Futures Co., a unit of China’s largest listed brokerage, said in an e-mail today.
New York Fed President William C. Dudley said raising interest rates too early poses a bigger risk to the economy than acting too late. Fed policy makers ended a bond-buying program last month as the jobless rate fell to a six-year low.
Gold for December delivery lost 0.2 percent to $1,159.70 an ounce on the Comex in New York, on course for a fourth week of losses. Most-active prices are 3.7 percent lower this year after losing 28 percent in 2013.
Silver for immediate delivery slid 0.6 percent to $15.5645 an ounce, heading for a fifth weekly drop, The metal retreated 20 percent this year and dropped to $15.0681 on Nov. 7, the lowest price since February 2010.
Spot platinum traded at $1,193.63 an ounce from $1,196.50 yesterday, set for a fifth week of declines. Palladium was little changed at $766.95 an ounce, poised for a second weekly decrease.
Glencore to Shut Australian Coal Mines for Three Weeks
Glencore Plc (GLEN), the world’s biggest
exporter of power-station coal, will stop production at its
Australian mines for three weeks as prices languish at a five-year low.
The decision to halt operations starting in mid-December will rein in output in Australia by about 5 million metric tons, the Baar, Switzerland-based company said in a statement today. That’s equal to about 6 percent of Glencore’s Australian coal production last year.
Glencore, led by Chief Executive Officer Ivan Glasenberg, is tapping the brakes on what has been a steady period of growth in coal production. A slide in prices has forced operators to shut mines as lower-cost producers like Glencore raised output, deepening a global glut.
“There is a broad, bearish tone in the market and investors are focusing on the negative headlines,” Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., said today by phone. “So whether this actually supports the short-term price is debatable, but on a fundamental basis it will help.”
The price of energy coal from Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, is down 27 percent this year to $61.85 a ton last week, the lowest since 2009, according to McCloskey.
“We remain confident in demand growth for our products and believe that the supply and demand balance will be restored in the medium term,” the company said today.
In the iron ore industry, Glasenberg has argued that his two biggest rivals have got it wrong by feeding a global glut.
The decision to halt operations starting in mid-December will rein in output in Australia by about 5 million metric tons, the Baar, Switzerland-based company said in a statement today. That’s equal to about 6 percent of Glencore’s Australian coal production last year.
Glencore, led by Chief Executive Officer Ivan Glasenberg, is tapping the brakes on what has been a steady period of growth in coal production. A slide in prices has forced operators to shut mines as lower-cost producers like Glencore raised output, deepening a global glut.
“There is a broad, bearish tone in the market and investors are focusing on the negative headlines,” Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., said today by phone. “So whether this actually supports the short-term price is debatable, but on a fundamental basis it will help.”
Expanding Mines
Glencore, which proposed a merger with Rio Tinto Group in July, reported earlier this month that it increased coal output by 9.2 percent in the third quarter to 40.2 million tons, driven by expansion at energy coal mines in Australia. Glencore’s Australian coal output last year was 81 million tons, according to a presentation in September.The price of energy coal from Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, is down 27 percent this year to $61.85 a ton last week, the lowest since 2009, according to McCloskey.
“We remain confident in demand growth for our products and believe that the supply and demand balance will be restored in the medium term,” the company said today.
In the iron ore industry, Glasenberg has argued that his two biggest rivals have got it wrong by feeding a global glut.
Jumat, 14 November 2014
Gold Heads for Weekly Loss as SPDR Assets Extend Drop, Oil Slips
Gold headed for a weekly decline as investors assessed the timing of
higher U.S. borrowing costs amid slumping energy prices, with assets in
the SPDR Gold Trust posting the longest period of decline since May
2013.
Bullion for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.4 percent to $1,157.94 an ounce, and traded at $1,160.41 at 8:48 a.m. in Singapore, down 1.5 percent this week, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. Holdings in the SPDR, the largest exchange-traded product backed by the metal, shrank to a six-year low of 720.62 metric tons yesterday, contracting for an eighth day.
Gold is heading for the first consecutive annual loss since 2000 as oil prices at a four-year low eroded demand for an inflation hedge, and the Federal Reserve moves closer to the first rate increase since 2006. Global demand slid 2.5 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier to the lowest level since 2009, the World Gold Council said yesterday. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index traded near a five-year high before a U.S. retail sales report today forecast to show a small increase.
“Unless some material change occurs in the U.S. economy, we believe a rate hike remains on the cards, keeping gold price weak,” Zhu Runyu, an analyst at CITIC Futures Co., a unit of China’s largest listed brokerage, said in an e-mail today.
New York Fed President William C. Dudley said raising interest rates too early poses a bigger risk to the economy than acting too late. Fed policy makers ended a bond-buying program last month as the jobless rate fell to a six-year low.
Gold for December delivery lost 0.2 percent to $1,159.70 an ounce on the Comex in New York, on course for a fourth week of losses. Most-active prices are 3.7 percent lower this year after losing 28 percent in 2013.
Silver for immediate delivery slid 0.6 percent to $15.5645 an ounce, heading for a fifth weekly drop, The metal retreated 20 percent this year and dropped to $15.0681 on Nov. 7, the lowest price since February 2010.
Spot platinum traded at $1,193.63 an ounce from $1,196.50 yesterday, set for a fifth week of declines. Palladium was little changed at $766.95 an ounce, poised for a second weekly decrease.
Sumber : Bloomberg
Bullion for immediate delivery fell as much as 0.4 percent to $1,157.94 an ounce, and traded at $1,160.41 at 8:48 a.m. in Singapore, down 1.5 percent this week, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. Holdings in the SPDR, the largest exchange-traded product backed by the metal, shrank to a six-year low of 720.62 metric tons yesterday, contracting for an eighth day.
Gold is heading for the first consecutive annual loss since 2000 as oil prices at a four-year low eroded demand for an inflation hedge, and the Federal Reserve moves closer to the first rate increase since 2006. Global demand slid 2.5 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier to the lowest level since 2009, the World Gold Council said yesterday. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index traded near a five-year high before a U.S. retail sales report today forecast to show a small increase.
“Unless some material change occurs in the U.S. economy, we believe a rate hike remains on the cards, keeping gold price weak,” Zhu Runyu, an analyst at CITIC Futures Co., a unit of China’s largest listed brokerage, said in an e-mail today.
New York Fed President William C. Dudley said raising interest rates too early poses a bigger risk to the economy than acting too late. Fed policy makers ended a bond-buying program last month as the jobless rate fell to a six-year low.
Gold for December delivery lost 0.2 percent to $1,159.70 an ounce on the Comex in New York, on course for a fourth week of losses. Most-active prices are 3.7 percent lower this year after losing 28 percent in 2013.
Silver for immediate delivery slid 0.6 percent to $15.5645 an ounce, heading for a fifth weekly drop, The metal retreated 20 percent this year and dropped to $15.0681 on Nov. 7, the lowest price since February 2010.
Spot platinum traded at $1,193.63 an ounce from $1,196.50 yesterday, set for a fifth week of declines. Palladium was little changed at $766.95 an ounce, poised for a second weekly decrease.
Sumber : Bloomberg
Glencore to Shut Australian Coal Mines for Three Weeks
Glencore Plc (GLEN),
the world’s biggest exporter of power-station coal, will stop
production at its Australian mines for three weeks as prices languish at
a five-year low.
The decision to halt operations starting in mid-December will rein in output in Australia by about 5 million metric tons, the Baar, Switzerland-based company said in a statement today. That’s equal to about 6 percent of Glencore’s Australian coal production last year.
Glencore, led by Chief Executive Officer Ivan Glasenberg, is tapping the brakes on what has been a steady period of growth in coal production. A slide in prices has forced operators to shut mines as lower-cost producers like Glencore raised output, deepening a global glut.
“There is a broad, bearish tone in the market and investors are focusing on the negative headlines,” Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., said today by phone. “So whether this actually supports the short-term price is debatable, but on a fundamental basis it will help.”
The price of energy coal from Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, is down 27 percent this year to $61.85 a ton last week, the lowest since 2009, according to McCloskey.
“We remain confident in demand growth for our products and believe that the supply and demand balance will be restored in the medium term,” the company said today.
In the iron ore industry, Glasenberg has argued that his two biggest rivals have got it wrong by feeding a global glut.
Sumber : Bloomberg
The decision to halt operations starting in mid-December will rein in output in Australia by about 5 million metric tons, the Baar, Switzerland-based company said in a statement today. That’s equal to about 6 percent of Glencore’s Australian coal production last year.
Glencore, led by Chief Executive Officer Ivan Glasenberg, is tapping the brakes on what has been a steady period of growth in coal production. A slide in prices has forced operators to shut mines as lower-cost producers like Glencore raised output, deepening a global glut.
“There is a broad, bearish tone in the market and investors are focusing on the negative headlines,” Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., said today by phone. “So whether this actually supports the short-term price is debatable, but on a fundamental basis it will help.”
Expanding Mines
Glencore, which proposed a merger with Rio Tinto Group in July, reported earlier this month that it increased coal output by 9.2 percent in the third quarter to 40.2 million tons, driven by expansion at energy coal mines in Australia. Glencore’s Australian coal output last year was 81 million tons, according to a presentation in September.The price of energy coal from Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, is down 27 percent this year to $61.85 a ton last week, the lowest since 2009, according to McCloskey.
“We remain confident in demand growth for our products and believe that the supply and demand balance will be restored in the medium term,” the company said today.
In the iron ore industry, Glasenberg has argued that his two biggest rivals have got it wrong by feeding a global glut.
Sumber : Bloomberg
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