West Texas Intermediate crude rose for a second day as investors
weighed the likelihood OPEC will cut production when it meets in Vienna
next week.
Futures advanced as much as 1.2 percent in New York.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may reduce its output
target by no more than 500,000 barrels a day, Bank of America Corp.
said in a note yesterday. Iran
will protect its share of global sales and can double exports in two
months if sanctions are removed, Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh
said, according to the ministry’s news website Shana.
Oil has collapsed into a bear market as the U.S. pumps at the fastest rate
in more than three decades amid signs of weakening demand. Leading OPEC
members are resisting calls to reduce supply while others including Venezuela seek action to support prices before a Nov. 27 meeting.
WTI for January delivery increased as much as 88 cents to $76.73 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange
and was at $76.61 at 10:50 a.m. Sydney time. The December contract
expired yesterday after rising $1 to $75.58. Front-month prices are up 1
percent this week, heading for the first weekly gain since September.
Brent
for January settlement climbed $1.23, or 1.6 percent, to $79.33 a
barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange yesterday. The
European benchmark crude ended the session at a premium of $3.48 to WTI.
Source : Bloomberg
Jumat, 21 November 2014
Natural Gas Rises to 5-Month High on Heating-Fuel Demand
Natural gas futures rose in New York to the highest price in almost five months as a blast of arctic air spurred heating-fuel demand.
Prices alternated between gains and losses before ending the session up 2.7 percent. The government’s Global Forecast System midday update showed that temperatures will be below normal in the eastern U.S. next week before moving closer to seasonal norms Nov. 30 through Dec. 4, according to Frontier Weather Inc. Gas demand this week jumped to an eight-month high as temperatures tumbled, according to LCI Energy Insight data.
“A very cold start to the winter has resurfaced repressed market memories of last winter, with fickle short-term weather forecasts supporting the ongoing tug-of-war in natural gas prices,” said Teri Viswanath, director of commodities strategy at BNP Paribas SA in New York. “While the midday model runs showed a slightly warmer version of the 11- to 15-day forecast period, there appears sufficient cold weather to entice buyers.”
Natural gas for December delivery rose 11.8 cents to settle at $4.489 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest close since June 25. Prices rose to $4.503 and dropped to $4.25 during the session. Volume for all futures traded was more than double the 100-day average at 3:48 p.m. Prices are up 22 percent from a year ago.
December $4.75 calls were the most active options in electronic trading, falling 0.6 cent to 2.3 cents on volume of 2,341 as of 3:48 p.m.
The weather model for the 11- to 15-day period “averages a couple degrees warmer than normal for just about everywhere east of the Rockies except for the Northeast, which averages nearer to normal,” said Jim Southard, meteorologist with Frontier in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
The expected temperature range in St. Louis on Dec. 2 is now 43 degrees Fahrenheit (6 Celsius) to 51, up from the previously forecast range of 34 to 41, he said.
The noon model showed no significant changes in the forecast for the next week, Southard said. A surge of polar air from Canada will push from the Great Plains to Florida Nov. 25 through Nov. 29, with the Midwest seeing the strongest intensity of the cold, according to MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland. About 49 percent of U.S. households use gas for heating.
Gas stockpiles fell 17 billion cubic feet in the week ended Nov. 14 to 3.594 trillion, topping the five-year average decline of 10 billion for the period, the U.S. Energy Information Administration report showed. Analyst estimates showed an expected drop of 11 billion, as did a survey of Bloomberg users.
A deficit to weekly five-year average inventory levels widened to 6.4 percent from 6.2 percent the previous week, expanding for the first time since March.
Supplies were 5.3 percent below year-earlier inventories, compared with 5.7 percent in last week’s report.
Spectra Corp.’s Algonquin gas pipeline in the Northeast curtailed 50 percent of secondary nominations on the system at the end of last week and that rose to about 80 percent as it got colder this week, said Valeria Annibali, energy industry analyst at FERC’s enforcement office. That signals less gas was available for power generators as more pipeline capacity was used to serve firm contract holders, such as distribution companies for households, she said.
Pipeline data this week also showed a notable shift in gas flows, with the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania and West Virginia meeting a bigger share of Northeast demand while Louisiana and Gulf flows stopped in the mid-Atlantic region, she said.
Gas demand jumped to 111.3 billion cubic feet on Nov. 18, the most for any day since Feb. 11, data show from LCI Energy in El Paso, Texas. Gas deliveries for the next day jumped to a seven-month high of $10.78 per million Btu on the day-ahead market on the Intercontinental Exchange. Algonquin prices today closed at $5.87.
“You expect prices like that in the depths of winter,” Ellsworth said.
Source : Bloomberg
Prices alternated between gains and losses before ending the session up 2.7 percent. The government’s Global Forecast System midday update showed that temperatures will be below normal in the eastern U.S. next week before moving closer to seasonal norms Nov. 30 through Dec. 4, according to Frontier Weather Inc. Gas demand this week jumped to an eight-month high as temperatures tumbled, according to LCI Energy Insight data.
“A very cold start to the winter has resurfaced repressed market memories of last winter, with fickle short-term weather forecasts supporting the ongoing tug-of-war in natural gas prices,” said Teri Viswanath, director of commodities strategy at BNP Paribas SA in New York. “While the midday model runs showed a slightly warmer version of the 11- to 15-day forecast period, there appears sufficient cold weather to entice buyers.”
Natural gas for December delivery rose 11.8 cents to settle at $4.489 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest close since June 25. Prices rose to $4.503 and dropped to $4.25 during the session. Volume for all futures traded was more than double the 100-day average at 3:48 p.m. Prices are up 22 percent from a year ago.
Price Retreat
Gas retreated during the session as futures faced resistance in the $4.50 range, said Ellen Stamm, global natural gas analyst at Schneider Electric in Louisville, Kentucky. It will take colder weather to break through that level, she said.December $4.75 calls were the most active options in electronic trading, falling 0.6 cent to 2.3 cents on volume of 2,341 as of 3:48 p.m.
The weather model for the 11- to 15-day period “averages a couple degrees warmer than normal for just about everywhere east of the Rockies except for the Northeast, which averages nearer to normal,” said Jim Southard, meteorologist with Frontier in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
The expected temperature range in St. Louis on Dec. 2 is now 43 degrees Fahrenheit (6 Celsius) to 51, up from the previously forecast range of 34 to 41, he said.
The noon model showed no significant changes in the forecast for the next week, Southard said. A surge of polar air from Canada will push from the Great Plains to Florida Nov. 25 through Nov. 29, with the Midwest seeing the strongest intensity of the cold, according to MDA Weather Services in Gaithersburg, Maryland. About 49 percent of U.S. households use gas for heating.
Inventory Report
“This is an earlier cold snap and when they have to eat into storage earlier than they expected, that can make the market a little bit nervous,” Chris Ellsworth, fuel branch chief with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s office of enforcement.Gas stockpiles fell 17 billion cubic feet in the week ended Nov. 14 to 3.594 trillion, topping the five-year average decline of 10 billion for the period, the U.S. Energy Information Administration report showed. Analyst estimates showed an expected drop of 11 billion, as did a survey of Bloomberg users.
A deficit to weekly five-year average inventory levels widened to 6.4 percent from 6.2 percent the previous week, expanding for the first time since March.
Supplies were 5.3 percent below year-earlier inventories, compared with 5.7 percent in last week’s report.
Bigger Decline
Early data indicates that the stockpile decline in next week’s report will jump to 150 billion cubic feet, given the blast of arctic air sweeping most of the lower 48 states, according to Viswanath and Stamm. The five-year average drop for the seven days ending Nov. 21 is 6 billion.Spectra Corp.’s Algonquin gas pipeline in the Northeast curtailed 50 percent of secondary nominations on the system at the end of last week and that rose to about 80 percent as it got colder this week, said Valeria Annibali, energy industry analyst at FERC’s enforcement office. That signals less gas was available for power generators as more pipeline capacity was used to serve firm contract holders, such as distribution companies for households, she said.
Pipeline data this week also showed a notable shift in gas flows, with the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania and West Virginia meeting a bigger share of Northeast demand while Louisiana and Gulf flows stopped in the mid-Atlantic region, she said.
Gas demand jumped to 111.3 billion cubic feet on Nov. 18, the most for any day since Feb. 11, data show from LCI Energy in El Paso, Texas. Gas deliveries for the next day jumped to a seven-month high of $10.78 per million Btu on the day-ahead market on the Intercontinental Exchange. Algonquin prices today closed at $5.87.
“You expect prices like that in the depths of winter,” Ellsworth said.
Source : Bloomberg
Kamis, 20 November 2014
Minyak WTI Melemah Setelah Persediaan Minyak Mentah AS Menguat
Minyak mentah West Texas Intermediate (WTI)
turun untuk hari keempat setelah persediaan minyak mentah AS naik, dan
investor mengkaji kemungkinan pemangkasan produksi minyak OPEC.
Minyak
berjangka melemah 0,4% di New York. Stok minyak mentah AS naik sebesar
2,6 juta barel pekan lalu menjadi 381.100.000, menurut laporan Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Organisasi Negara-negara Pengekspor Minyak (OPEC) harus memangkas
kelebihan pasokan dan mengurangi target produksi, Gubernur OPEC Libya
Samir Kamal mengatakan kemarin.
Minyak telah merosot ke bear market setelah
Amerika Serikat meningkatkan suku bunga tertinggi dalam lebih dari tiga
dekade di tengah tanda-tanda melemahnya permintaan. Memimpin anggota
OPEC menolak permintaan untuk mengurangi produksi karena produsen minyak
yang lebih kecil seperti Venezuela mencari tindakan untuk mendukung
harga sebelum pertemuan 27 November mendatang di Wina.
Minyak
mentah WTI untuk pengiriman Desember, yang berakhir hari ini,
kehilangan 33 sen menjadi $ 74,25 per barel di perdagangan elektronik New York Mercantile Exchange dan
berada di level $ 74,28 pada pukul 10:48 pagi waktu Sydney. Kontrak
bulan Januari yang lebih aktif turun 23 sen menjadi $ 74,27. Volume
semua berjangka yang diperdagangkan adalah sekitar 46% di bawah
rata-rata 100 hari. Harga WTI telah turun 25% dalam tahun ini.
Sementara minyak mentah Brent untuk pengiriman Januari turun 37 sen, atau 0,5%, ke $ 78,10 per barel di bursa ICE Futures Europe exchange kemarin. Minyak mentah patokan Eropa mengakhiri sesi di level $ 3,60 lebih besar dari WTI untuk bulan yang sama.
OPEC,
yang memasok sekitar 40% dari minyak dunia, memompa 30.970.000 barel
per hari pada bulan Oktober, melampaui target produksi kolektif dari 30
juta barel untuk bulan kelima berturut-turut, data yang dikumpulkan oleh
Bloomberg menunjukkan.(frk)
Sumber : Bloomberg
Gold Open Interest Rises to 22-Month High as Short Bets Climb
Holdings in gold contracts reached the highest in almost 22 months as investors added to bets that prices will drop. Futures fell.
The aggregate number of futures contracts yet to be closed, liquidated or delivered rose to 459,657 yesterday, the highest since Jan. 22, 2013. Money managers have boosted their short wagers to the highest in four weeks, while long holdings dropped to the lowest since January, government data show.
Investor appetite for bullion has ebbed as the dollar jumped to the highest since 2009 against a 10-currency basket and the Federal Reserve moved closer to its first U.S. interest-rate increase in eight years, cutting demand for the metal as an inflation hedge. Gold futures slumped to the lowest in four years this month, heading for a second straight annual loss.
Gold futures for December delivery lost 0.3 percent to settle at $1,193.90 an ounce today on the Comex in New York. The metal fell to $1,130.40 on Nov. 7, the lowest since April 2010.
Aggregate trading was more than double the 100-day average for this time, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Bullion has declined for two straight months, the longest slump this year, as U.S. equities surged to a record and inflation failed to accelerate. Fed officials said last month that lower energy costs may hold down consumer costs in the near term.
Source: Bloomberg
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